Hurricane Harvey Galveston: Weather, Forecast & Path

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hurricane harvey

The cone shows the probable path of Hurricane Harvey’s center.

Hurricane Harvey is expected to make landfall in Corpus Christi Texas, but people in Galveston are also bracing for the storm and the potential for severe flooding.

“Concerns about high winds and higher tides have officials in Galveston making preparations ahead of Hurricane Harvey,” reported ABC13. “So far, only voluntary evacuations have been issued for people with medical or access and functional needs on the West End of Galveston. Officials, however, are telling people in low lying areas that they may want to leave.”

Click2Houston reports that Galveston is in a “state of readiness” and under a tropical storm and storm surge that was issued August 23 for the island.

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Jaree Fortin, a spokesperson for the city of Galveston, told Click2 Houston that “even though the forecast is still uncertain, they’re expecting high tides in the next 72 hours, which could lead to a lot of flooding.”

According to The Houston Chronicle, Hurricane Harvey is poised to be “the first major hurricane to threaten the coast in more than a decade.”

“The Houston region could be seeing rainfall and feeling the storm’s winds by late Friday morning,” The Chronicle reported.

Here’s what you need to know:


Closings & Evacuations

Galveston.com has an updated list of closings due to Hurricane Harvey.

According to ABC 13, “Several historical sites in Galveston have announced they will be closed from Friday until Sunday, including Bishop’s Palace, the Tall Ship Elissa, and Pier 21 Theater.”

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KHOU reported that “in the historic Strand District, where flooding is all too common, crews were busy stacking sandbags Thursday. Residents determined to ride out the storm packed stores to stock up on supplies.”

“Nearby on the Bolivar Peninsula, the Galveston County judge issued a a voluntary evacuation for residents on Bolivar Peninsula effective Friday at 8 a.m,” KHOU reported. “This order includes the unincorporated areas of Port Bolivar, Crystal Beach, High Island and Gilchrist. Residents who rely on medical assistance or those who cannot go without power for an extended period of time are encouraged to leave.”

According to the television station, “The Bolivar Ferry was still running Thursday but that could Chetek Tornado | Barron Countychange if tides reach more than 4.5 feet or winds reach more than 45 mph.”


Category, Warnings, & Windspeeds

hurricane harvey

National Hurricane Center wind speed map for Hurricane Harvey.

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This National Weather Service page has a detailed hourly forecast for Houston/Galveston that includes windspeeds and many other data points.

You can check current weather warnings for the Houston/Galveston area here.

Galveston.com also has an updated blog with current weather forecasts for Galveston, Texas.

According to CNN, Hurricane Harvey “is forecast to become a Category 3 hurricane with winds of at least 111 mph by the time it hits the middle Texas coast late Friday or early Saturday…After hitting Corpus Christi, the storm is expected to stall over the state, forecasters say.”

hurricane harvey wind

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Hurricane Harvey projected wind arrival times.

The National Hurricane Center reports that hurricane force winds are described as “one-minute average wind speeds of at least 74 mph” and tropical storm force winds are “one-minute average wind speeds of 39-73 mph.”


Path & Radar

The National Weather Service’s August 24 update for the Houston/Galveston area for Hurricane Harvey says, “Harvey has intensified into a hurricane this afternoon. Harvey is expected to continue to strengthen possibly becoming a major hurricane on Friday before landfall. At this point, Harvey could become a high end category 3 hurricane. The primary impact from Harvey remains very heavy rainfall and extreme flooding for southeast Texas. There is also the threat for tropical storm to hurricane force winds and storm surge along the coast. The most likely arrival time for tropical storm force winds to reach the upper Texas coast is during the day on Friday. Since the wind fields have expanded in Harvey, higher storm surge can be expected up the Texas coast. Again, we want to emphasize the high amounts of rainfall that could lead to widespread and prolonged.”

As of 4:30 p.m. August 24, the storm was “about 320 miles south of Galveston TX or about 300 miles south-southeast of Port O’Connor TX” with “Storm Intensity 85 mph” and “Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 10 mph.”

According to the Houston Chronicle, the storm’s path is “is similar to that of Tropical Storm Allison,” which, in Harris County, “left 22 dead and 30,000 homeless, and caused more than $5 billion in property damages.”

You can see updated Houston/Galveston radar reports here.

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This page by the National Hurricane Center has a current map that tracks Hurricane Harvey’s path through Texas.

Will Hurricane Harvey hit Houston too? The Dallas Morning News reports that’s expected to be one of the hardest hit areas. “People are being advised to reconsider any weekend travel plans they have to the coast, and surrounding areas like Houston, where Harvey is expected to hit the hardest,” the newspaper reported. “Those living in the affected areas are encouraged to secure themselves and their belongings by Thursday night” August 24.

At 1 p.m. on August 24, “Harvey was a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds. It was about 335 miles southeast of Corpus Christi, and was moving north-northwest at 10 mph,” CNN reported.


Forecast & Rainfall

hurricane harvey map

Hurricane Harvey rainfall projections.

You can see another updated weather forecast for Galveston here on the National Hurricane Center’s website.

See a current graphical forecast map here.

The forecast for Friday in Galveston from the National Weather Service: “Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. High near 84. Windy, with an east wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.”

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Friday Night: “Tropical storm conditions expected. Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.”

Saturday: “Tropical storm conditions expected. Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. High near 83. Chance of precipitation is 80%.”

Saturday Night: “Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Steady temperature around 83. Chance of precipitation is 80%.”

Sunday: “Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 83. Chance of precipitation is 80%.”

Sunday Night: “Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 70%.”

According to ABC 13, on August 24, “A Hurricane Warning has been issued for the Texas coast from Port Mansfield to Matagorda. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from north of Matagorda to High Island Texas. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass.”

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